27 April 2015

Miller Mock 1.0

This is the week. T-minus four days and counting until the first round of the NFL Draft on Thursday night. I’ll be heading to Kansas City with my son and fellow Chiefs fanatic, Casey Miller, to watch at the Chiefs Official Draft Party. It’s an event for Season Ticket Holders only. Yeah, that’s right. Can’t wait … 

As I haven’t had the time to do multiple mock drafts this year, Version 1.0 will be the first and the last one. Who knows what will really happen … (actually only one and Jesus isn’t talking). Take a look, and let me know what you think. 

  1. Tampa Bay – Jameis Winston, QB Florida State -- loads of off-field issues and on-field potential
  2. Tennessee (or whoever ends up in this spot) – Marcus Mariota, QB Oregon -- get the sense many teams are underselling how much they like him; natural leader
  3. Jacksonville – Leonard Williams, DL USC -- just might be the best all-around talent in the draft
  4. Oakland – Amari Cooper, WR Alabama -- polished route runner and pass catcher; hate to see him end up with the Raiders
  5. Washington – Dante Fowler, OLB Florida -- pundits have been raving about his upside; could go anywhere from 3 to 23
  6. New York Jets – Bud Dupree, OLB Kentucky -- skyrocketing up the mock draft boards; Jets could go WR here very easily
  7. Chicago – Kevin White, WR West Virginia -- only one year of production, but the Bears will run to the podium if he is available
  8. Atlanta – Vic Beasley, OLB Clemson -- least talked about of the edge rushers; quietly productive
  9. New York Giants – Brandon Scherff, OL Iowa -- consistently mocked to the G-Men; will likely start at guard and then develop into tackle
  10. St. Louis – Andrus Peat, OL Stanford -- not really sure what Rams will do here; OL is a need but so is WR
  11. Minnesota – DeVante Parker, WR Louisville -- reuniting Teddy B with his college teammate
  12. Cleveland – Danny Shelton, NT Washington -- Browns need help all over the field; building the D line is a good place to start
  13. New Orleans – Randy Gregory, OLB Nebraska -- not sure if the Big Easy is a great place for Gregory, but he shouldn't be bored
  14. Miami – La’el Collins, OL LSU -- Dolphins are still rebuilding the O line; likely starter at guard
  15. San Francisco – Arik Armstead, DL Oregon -- nice start to rebuilding the Niners' dominant D
  16. Houston – Breshad Perriman, WR Central Florida -- O'Brien replaces Andre with this burner
  17. San Diego – D.J. Humphries, OL Florida -- Chargers continue to shore up the O line
  18. Kansas City – Eric Kendricks, ILB UCLA -- with no glaring holes, Chiefs can go multiple ways here; CB, WR and ILB are the most logical moves
  19. Cleveland – Eddie Goldman, DT Florida State -- with two first-round picks, the Browns go O line and D line
  20. Philadelphia – Trae Waynes, CB Michigan State -- the first corner off the board to the Iggles at 20 unless Chip goes crazy again
  21. Cincinnati – Shane Ray, OLB Missouri -- the fall for Ray stops with Cincy; the foot injury scared people off
  22. Pittsburgh – Marcus Peters, CB Washington -- with key secondary retirements this off-season, the Steelers need to reload the back end of the D
  23. Detroit – Malcolm Brown, DT Texas -- beginning the process of replacing Suh and Fairley, Brown is a good start
  24. Arizona –Todd Gurley, RB Georgia -- if the Cards strike out on the AP deal, drafting Gurley is a nice consolation prize
  25. Carolina – Cedric Ogbuehi, OT Texas -- protecting Cam helps the passing game and the entire offense
  26. Baltimore – Maxx Williams, TE Minnesota -- the draft's best TE option by far will help the Ravens in the middle of the field
  27. Dallas – Melvin Gordon, RB Wisconsin -- Gordon may step in and start as a rookie behind the best O line in the league
  28. Denver – Jake Fisher, OT Oregon -- free-agency defections mean Elway has to shore up the line
  29. Indianapolis – Ereck Flowers, OT Miami -- Luck is great, but he can't block and throw the passes; Indy needs help here
  30. Green Bay – Kevin Johnson, CB Wake Forrest -- as usual, Thompson stays pat and finds great value late in the round
  31. New Orleans – Jalen Collins, CB LSU -- the Saints need back-end help, and Collins fits the scheme
  32. New England – Landon Collins, S Alabama -- who really cares who they get? It's the Patriots for crying out loud. They'll be fine.
How does your mock look different from this?
Thanks for reading.


01 September 2014

2014 Playoff Predictions

Wow ... it's amazing how time flies! It's been almost exactly a year since I posted to this blog. My last post was the 2013 playoff predictions, and I'm happy to say that my percentage turned out pretty good -- 7 of 12 playoff qualifiers correct (58 percent). Not great, but not awful.

Anyway, here we go with this year's edition. As everybody knows, the NFL has new teams in and new teams out of the playoffs every year, so chalk picks just will not cut it. Shoot holes in these if you think you know better. 

• North: Steelers
• South: Colts
• East: Patriots
• West: Broncos
• Wildcards: Bengals, Ravens

Comment: The conference will continue to be dominated by a couple strong teams in the Patriots and Broncos, with the Colts continuing to improve. I see bounce-back years for both Pittsburgh and Baltimore.

• North: Packers
• South:Saints
• East:Eagles
• West:Seahawks
• Wildcards: Bears, Cardinals

Comment: Problem with the NFC is that the best teams just beat the tar out of each other all season in the West. The Niners will drop off as will the Panthers. See the Cards continuing to rise and a good year for the Saints. Just too much offense.

Super Bowl Pick -- Patriots against the Packers. Aaron Rodgers wins league MVP, SuperBowl MVP and Hoodie Bill comes in second place once again. Maybe he should find a new way to cheat.

Thanks for reading. 

29 August 2013

2013 Playoff Predictions

With the NFL season kicking off next week, I thought I'd throw out (or up depending on your opinion of my picks) some predictions on the playoff qualifiers come January. Every year, there are several new teams in the fold, and usually a worst-to-first Cinderella story ... I bet you have some idea of who I'll pick for that. 

Anyway, here we go. Shoot holes in these if you think you know better. 

• North: Bengals
• South: Texans
• East: Patriots
• West: Broncos
• Wildcards: Steelers, Chiefs

Comment: Really weak conference this year. I didn't intend on picking KC for this until I went through every team. Homer pick, yes. Totally blind, no. 

• North: Packers
• South: Falcons
• East: Cowboys
• West: 49ers
• Wildcards: Seahawks, Rams

Comment: The top four teams in the entire league appear to be in the NFC. Brutal really. Rams would be division winners in any other spot. 

Super Bowl Pick -- Falcons over Bengals. Crazy uniforms galore. Finally, a ring for Tony G. and SJ39. 

Thanks for reading.